Friday, May 25, 2018

5/25 new option selection

amazon option spread choice:


  • conservative choice:
    • sell June 8th 1600~1580 put spread with around $6
    • break even price: 1594
    • potential gain : $6 per contract, 6/(20-6) =   42.8%
    • potential loss: $14 per contract ,100%
    • better for those who can take the shares if being assgined
    • the odds price close above 1580 on June 8th is about 65%

  • aggressive choice:
    • sell June 15th 1650~1600 put spread with around $27
    • break even price: 1623
    • potential gain: $27 per contract ,27/(50-27) =  117.3% 
    • potential loss : $23 per contract , 100%
    • better for those who can take the shares if being assigned
    • the odds price above 1600 on June 15th is about 52%

Note: the potential loss is not necessary up to 100%, you always can close the position before option expiration date if you feel the trade will not be successful.


My personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for demonstration and education.





Saturday, April 14, 2018

4/14/2018 stock options picks

Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ):

short put spread June 15th 220~210 with $3.05~$3.1


  • the break even price $217
  • potential gain $3/($10-$3) =   42.8%
  • potential loss 100% (but you always can close position earlier to limit loss)
  • The reason to choose it
    • $220 is strong support
    • gradual positive market sentiment shift 
My personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustration

Saturday, December 9, 2017

12/9/2017 stock option pick

RCL (royal Caribbean cruise): long Jan/2018 115~125 call spread with  around $7 premium


  • the break even price $122
  • potential gain ($10-$7)/$7 =   42.8%
  • potential loss 100% (but you always can close position earlier to limit loss)
  • The reason to choose it
    • 100% seasonality positive in Dec
    • note 1/22/2018 earning date 
    • the option date choosing next Jan is for more time value to decay
My personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustration




Wednesday, November 29, 2017

11/29/2017 stock option pick

AAPL: long call spread Feb, 2018 170~180 with cost $4.6~$5.00


  • potential loss 100%
  • potential gain 100%
  • break even price around $175
  • the price projected for apple in next Feb will be over $180
  • suggestion: can close position earlier to take profit other than waiting to materialize the maximum 100% gain with potential risk (for example: when this spread runs to $7.5, 50% gain to take profit)

Sunday, November 26, 2017

11/26/2017 stock option pick

Google (GOOGL): long spread Jan 2018 $1030~$1060 call spread with $18/contract


  • potential loss $18/contract, 100% loss
  • potential gain $12/contract, 66% gain
  • break even $1048

My personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustartion

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

11/21/2017 stock option pick

CME Group (CME):  long call spread Jan/2018 $140-$145 with $2.1, any price [$2~$2.2] can be a entry

  • the potential maximum gain: ($5-$2.1)/$2.1 = 138%
  • the potential ,maximum loss is 100%
  • break even price: $142.1
  • The Jan/2018 projection for CME price is around $145

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

Monday, November 20, 2017

11/20/2017 weekly stock option pick

1. PYPL: long call spread Jan/2018 $72.5-$77.5 with $2.78, any price [$2.5~$2.8] can be a entry

  • the potential maximum gain: ($5-$2.8)/$2.8 = 78.5%
  • the potential ,maximum loss is 100%
  • break even price: $75.3
  • The Jan/2018 projection for PYPL price is around $77.5

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration