11/29/2017 stock option pick

AAPL: long call spread Feb, 2018 170~180 with cost $4.6~$5.00

• potential loss 100%
• potential gain 100%
• break even price around $175
• the price projected for apple in next Feb will be over $180
• suggestion: can close position earlier to take profit other than waiting to materialize the maximum 100% gain with potential risk (for example: when this spread runs to $7.5, 50% gain to take profit)

11/26/2017 stock option pick

Google (GOOGL): long spread Jan 2018 $1030~$1060 call spread with $18/contract

• potential loss $18/contract, 100% loss
• potential gain $12/contract, 66% gain
• break even $1048

My personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustartion

11/21/2017 stock option pick

CME Group (CME):  long call spread Jan/2018 $140-$145 with $2.1, any price [$2~$2.2] can be a entry

• the potential maximum gain: ($5-$2.1)/$2.1 = 138%
• the potential ,maximum loss is 100%
• break even price: $142.1
• The Jan/2018 projection for CME price is around $145

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

11/20/2017 weekly stock option pick

1. PYPL: long call spread Jan/2018 $72.5-$77.5 with $2.78, any price [$2.5~$2.8] can be a entry

• the potential maximum gain: ($5-$2.8)/$2.8 = 78.5%
• the potential ,maximum loss is 100%
• break even price: $75.3
• The Jan/2018 projection for PYPL price is around $77.5

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

10/11/2017 one insurance stock update

one insurance company broke out by nice price action after south east states' hurricane: travellers (TRV).

• classic break out $130 level
• classic back test the break out level $130, then reverse up
• upside target moved up to $145.
• buyers' stop below $129.5

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

11/10/2017 daily and weekly indices update

1. SP500:

• first weekly loss after 8 weeks winning streak
• inside day today from Thursday (11/9/2017)
• usually inside day is a positive sign this year
• strong resistance around 2585
• regaining 2585 by daily close will be a good sign for bull to regain the control
• vice versa to reverse down to test 2565 again

2.  Nasdaq 100:

• still keep the weekly winning streak to 7 weeks
• inside day from Thursday (11/9/2017)
• usually inside day is a positive sign this year
• resistance around 6312
• regaining 6312 by daily close will be good sign for bull to regain the control 
• vice versa to reverse down to test 6240~6248

3. Russell 2000: 

• 5 weeks down in a row
• also inside day from Thursday (11/9/2017)
• usually inside day is a positive sign this year
• resistance around 1482~1485
• regaining  1482~1485 by daily close will be a good sign for bull to gain the control to reverse the recent down trend to uptrend
• vice versa to reverse down to test 1465~1467

4. Dow Industrial:

first weekly loss after 9 weeks winning streak

inside day today from Thursday  (11/9/2017) but with red candle 

resistance  around 23475

•  regaining 23475 by daily close will be a good sign for bull to regain the control
• vice versa to reverse down to test 23300

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustration

 

11/6/2017 stock option idea

Alibaba: BABA

• long call spread Jan Monthly 185~195 with $4.6 (yesterday's close), any price between $4.5~$4.6 is acceptable 
• The potential gain is $10-$4.6/$4.6 =  117% if price close above $195 when option expire
• The potential loss is 100% if price close below $185 when option expire
• break even price: 189.6 
• why choose $195?
• the projection price of BaBa for Jan is around $195~200.

Update on Facebook, Apple and Celgene option tade

FB: long call spread Dec Monthly 165~170 now at $4.33, any entry with $3.35 or less already has around 30% gain, the recommendation is keep the option spread to run, let more time value to decay. I will notice to close the position, otherwise let the spread run through expiration date.

Apple: long Nov 145~150 call spread now at $4.98(almost full $5 credit), any entry within $3.8 will get 31.8% gain. Recommendation is let the option spread be. There is very very slim chance, apple stock price will swing below $150 at expiration date (if you close it, you will lose penny, no big deal) 

Celgene: long Dec 125~135 call spread now almost be worthless, I assume this is a bad trade unless some miracles happen.


Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration.  

NASDAQ 100 Big Cap stock update

The stocks who had already reported 3rd quarters' earnings are discussed here. The several stocks such as NVDA ADSK not discussed here.


1. AMZN:

• the price hold up 0.786 fib and bounce up
• the ATNH 1122.79 will be tested soon

2. GOOG:

• the price hold up the gap up low around 1008 and bounce up
• now it break out the 0.786 fib
• the ATNH 1048.39 will be tested soon

3 MSFT:

• The price hold up 0.618 fib and contained by 0.786 fib
• the price will consolidate between 0.618 fib and 0.786 fib before making directional move

4 NFLX:

• the price hold up 0.618 fib, now above 0.786 fib
• the price need overcome 201 to touch ATNH 204.38

5 FB:

• The price hold up 0.618 fib and contained by 0.786 fib
• the price will consolidate between 0.618 fib and 0.786 fib before making directional move

6 AAPL:

• watch 0.786 fib support around 170,
• it is a buy entry

7 BABA:

• the price hold up the 0.618 fib and contained by 0.786 fib
• the price will consolidate between 0.618 fib and 0.786 fib before making directional move

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustration.