11/29/2017 stock option pick

AAPL: long call spread Feb, 2018 170~180 with cost $4.6~$5.00

• potential loss 100%
• potential gain 100%
• break even price around $175
• the price projected for apple in next Feb will be over $180
• suggestion: can close position earlier to take profit other than waiting to materialize the maximum 100% gain with potential risk (for example: when this spread runs to $7.5, 50% gain to take profit)

11/26/2017 stock option pick

Google (GOOGL): long spread Jan 2018 $1030~$1060 call spread with $18/contract

• potential loss $18/contract, 100% loss
• potential gain $12/contract, 66% gain
• break even $1048

My personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustartion

11/21/2017 stock option pick

CME Group (CME):  long call spread Jan/2018 $140-$145 with $2.1, any price [$2~$2.2] can be a entry

• the potential maximum gain: ($5-$2.1)/$2.1 = 138%
• the potential ,maximum loss is 100%
• break even price: $142.1
• The Jan/2018 projection for CME price is around $145

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

11/20/2017 weekly stock option pick

1. PYPL: long call spread Jan/2018 $72.5-$77.5 with $2.78, any price [$2.5~$2.8] can be a entry

• the potential maximum gain: ($5-$2.8)/$2.8 = 78.5%
• the potential ,maximum loss is 100%
• break even price: $75.3
• The Jan/2018 projection for PYPL price is around $77.5

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

10/11/2017 one insurance stock update

one insurance company broke out by nice price action after south east states' hurricane: travellers (TRV).

• classic break out $130 level
• classic back test the break out level $130, then reverse up
• upside target moved up to $145.
• buyers' stop below $129.5

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration

11/10/2017 daily and weekly indices update

1. SP500:

• first weekly loss after 8 weeks winning streak
• inside day today from Thursday (11/9/2017)
• usually inside day is a positive sign this year
• strong resistance around 2585
• regaining 2585 by daily close will be a good sign for bull to regain the control
• vice versa to reverse down to test 2565 again

2.  Nasdaq 100:

• still keep the weekly winning streak to 7 weeks
• inside day from Thursday (11/9/2017)
• usually inside day is a positive sign this year
• resistance around 6312
• regaining 6312 by daily close will be good sign for bull to regain the control 
• vice versa to reverse down to test 6240~6248

3. Russell 2000: 

• 5 weeks down in a row
• also inside day from Thursday (11/9/2017)
• usually inside day is a positive sign this year
• resistance around 1482~1485
• regaining  1482~1485 by daily close will be a good sign for bull to gain the control to reverse the recent down trend to uptrend
• vice versa to reverse down to test 1465~1467

4. Dow Industrial:

first weekly loss after 9 weeks winning streak

inside day today from Thursday  (11/9/2017) but with red candle 

resistance  around 23475

•  regaining 23475 by daily close will be a good sign for bull to regain the control
• vice versa to reverse down to test 23300

Note: my personal opinion is not for investment purpose, but for education and illustration

 

11/6/2017 stock option idea

Alibaba: BABA

• long call spread Jan Monthly 185~195 with $4.6 (yesterday's close), any price between $4.5~$4.6 is acceptable 
• The potential gain is $10-$4.6/$4.6 =  117% if price close above $195 when option expire
• The potential loss is 100% if price close below $185 when option expire
• break even price: 189.6 
• why choose $195?
• the projection price of BaBa for Jan is around $195~200.

Update on Facebook, Apple and Celgene option tade

FB: long call spread Dec Monthly 165~170 now at $4.33, any entry with $3.35 or less already has around 30% gain, the recommendation is keep the option spread to run, let more time value to decay. I will notice to close the position, otherwise let the spread run through expiration date.

Apple: long Nov 145~150 call spread now at $4.98(almost full $5 credit), any entry within $3.8 will get 31.8% gain. Recommendation is let the option spread be. There is very very slim chance, apple stock price will swing below $150 at expiration date (if you close it, you will lose penny, no big deal) 

Celgene: long Dec 125~135 call spread now almost be worthless, I assume this is a bad trade unless some miracles happen.


Note: my personal opinion is not for investment, but for education and illustration.