- the index break out the down channel on last Friday with break out
- the index still close at the channel top trend line of new down channel (top trend line: 2400.98-> 2376.86->2373.58)
- Resistance levels: 2376.86, 2378.8, 2382 (gap fill), 2386.5 (down channel base), 2390, 2395.5 (gap fill)
The short term trading summary:
- the first guess is possible gap up to break out the down channel (top trend line: 2400.98-> 2376.86-> 2373.58), then sold off to back test the newly formed down channel bottom trend line like last Friday?
- the second guess is still consolidate within the new formed down channel
Let's review one of the breadth chart of sp500: SPXA50R.
The summary of the breadth indicator is :
- all short terms EMAs are pointing down now and stick together (a very strong resistance indication), the value range [72.18, 72.44], current value is at 68.6
- like mentioned before the breadth's 20 days EMA will be back tested soon to decide if the market can continue higher or will back down to claim the market top
- the back test 20 days EMA of this breadth also indicates that the market will go higher from current level (watch where to stop )
- if this breadth can break out 20 days EMA, the market may will make new high again.
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